WASHTINGTON v CHICAGO o44 (-109) BETRIVERS / 1.09 UNITS
Neither of these teams have much defense to speak of. The Bears' defense has been downright atrocious and the Sam Howell-led Commanders have looked okay when he can get some time to throw the ball--something the Bears are likely to oblige. The Bears are in desperation mode, and I wouldn't be surprised to see Justin Fields ramp up the heroics in this one. It may be junk-time scoring, but we'll take it however we can get it.
NEW ORLEANS v NEW ENGLAND u40 (-109) BETRIVERS / 1.09 UNITS
Woof. These are two offenses that can't do much of anything. If Derek Carr plays it actually helps this under. His yards per attempt were 3.4 last week as he deals with a shoulder injury. Judon and Gonzalez are out for the Patriots, and that doesn't help our cause, but the Saints have been inept this year against lesser competition. Mac Jones is in danger of getting benched and is leading an offensive unit with almost no skill. This game should be a rock fight.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS +5.5 (-110) BETMGM / 1.1 UNITS
Minnesota has looked really bad this year--but a lot of that is due to turnovers. They've lost the turnover battle -3, -3, -1, and -1 in their first four games. According to PFF they have the #5 offense in the league and the #8 team overall. Look, they've lost their games fair and square, and they might turn it over a bunch again, but at home getting 5.5 against a Chiefs team that has been lackluster so far is a good spot. Let's just hope the Swifties stay away this week!
NEW YORK JETS ML (+110) DRAFTKINGS / 1 UNIT
I get it, it's Zach Wilson. But hear me out, it's also the Broncos' defense. Through four weeks they haven't been able to stop anyone and Wilson looked semi-competent until the fumble last week against the Chiefs. The Broncos' offense has looked okay against bad defenses, but the Jets' defense isn't bad. They may not be '85 Bears level, but they can do their part to minimize the Broncos' scoring. The Jets are a team that fought for the playoffs with Wilson last year, almost beat the Chiefs last week, and are in a buy-low spot in my eyes.
PHILADELPHIA v LA RAMS HT/FT: RAMS/EAGLES (+700) FANDUEL / 0.5 UNITS
We're going deep on this one, but I'll keep it short. The Rams have been great in the first half this year. They're outmatched by the Eagles, but the offense has been impressive. Stafford barely made it out of last week's game upright, and at some point, the Eagles' pass rush is going to get to him and at least cause some bad throws, if not turnovers, or even a departure from the game. The Eagles have not performed up to their ability so far, but they're doing what they need to in order to win games. At this line, I'll take the Rams to start quick with the Eagles taking over down the stretch.
MIAMI DOLPHINS -6.5 FIRST HALF (-118) BETRIVERS / 1.18 UNITS
Miami got embarrassed at Buffalo last week. The Giants are coming off of an embarrassing loss too. The difference between these two teams is that one of them is good and the other one isn't. Miami starts fast and keeps their foot on the gas. The Giants are likely to have any answers for this offense. I like the Dolphins to win by 14+, but I think they start fast too, so I'll take the shorter line on the first half.
DETROIT LIONS -5.5 FIRST HALF (-110) HARDROCK BET / 1.1 UNITS
The Panthers are bad, especially when Bryce Young is playing QB. I may be adding bets on their team total under as well, but this is a spot, like the Dolphins, where I like the Lions to get out to a lead quickly. They are backing up the hype from the offseason with solid play on both sides of the ball. The Panthers defense continues to struggle with some injuries, so I don't think they'll be able to keep the Lions from scoring 10 in the first half, and that's all they'll need to cover this spread.
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